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CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE

Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf

DateOct 17, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenuePalapellicone
BroadcastUFC Fight Pass
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET)
Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 3:00 AM
Giuseppe RuggeriGear Fifth |10-1-0Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander LööfAlexander Lööf9-4-0
itGiuseppe RuggeriGear Fifth10-1-0Giuseppe Ruggeri
Elo1636Solid
3Y trend1609 → 1636
2024-03-15: 16092025-03-08: 16272025-05-31: 1636
it

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
10-1-0Record9-4-0
27Age28
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight
seAlexander Lööf9-4-0seAlexander Lööf
Elo1565Solid
3Y trend1582 → 1565
2023-09-29: 15822024-06-01: 15982024-07-20: 16152024-07-20: 15882024-11-15: 15522025-06-27: 15672025-09-13: 15422026-06-19: 1565
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Giuseppe Ruggeri owns a 71-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Giuseppe Ruggeri and Alexander Lööf across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Giuseppe RuggeriAlexander Lööf
155016001650202420252026

Recent form

Giuseppe RuggeriW W L W W · +10 Elo last 5
WWLWW
Alexander LööfW L W L L · -50 Elo last 5
WLWLL

Elo edge

Giuseppe Ruggeri1636+9 last move
Alexander Lööf1565+23 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
46%Giuseppe Ruggeri54%Alexander Lööf
Model favoriteAlexander Lööf
Elo baseline40% for Alexander Lööf
Matchup adjustment+14 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Alexander LööfStake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Alexander Lööf is 54%, after Elo alone favored Giuseppe Ruggeri at 60%.

Current Elo ratings1636 · 1565Giuseppe Ruggeri leads by 71 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1479 · 1528Alexander Lööf faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth11 · 13 fightsAlexander Lööf has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.
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Stat advantages

Giuseppe RuggerivsAlexander Lööf

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Giuseppe Ruggeridecision leads 50% of wins
Alexander Lööfdecision leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Giuseppe RuggeriAlexander Lööf

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC featherweight average : 3.96
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC featherweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC featherweight average : 3.85
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC featherweight average : 54%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC featherweight average : 1.57
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC featherweight average : 31%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC featherweight average : 55%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC featherweight average : 0.63
3Wins by knockout3
2Wins by submission0
5Wins by decision6
1Losses by knockout1
0Losses by submission2
0Losses by decision1

Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf is a scheduled Featherweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Giuseppe Ruggeri enters with a 10-1-0 record and Alexander Lööf enters with a 9-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf quick answers

When is Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf?

Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf is listed for CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE on Oct 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST.

What event is Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf on?

Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf is listed on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE.

What are the records for Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf?

Giuseppe Ruggeri enters with a 10-1-0 record and Alexander Lööf enters with a 9-4-0 record.

What division is Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf?

Giuseppe Ruggeri vs Alexander Lööf is listed as a Featherweight fight.

Full fight card
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