Jared Cannonier vs Ikram Aliskerov

Nov 21, 2026 · Paramount+

Combat Edge model forecast22%Jared Cannonier78%Ikram AliskerovFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 21, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueABHA Arena

BroadcastParamount+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 21, 2026 — watch on Paramount+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Jared CannonierThe Killa Gorilla |18-10-0Jared Cannonier vs Ikram AliskerovIkram Aliskerov18-2-0

Jared CannonierThe Killa Gorilla18-10-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

18-10-0Record18-2-0

42Age33

6'0"Height6'0"

77"Reach76"

185 lbsWeight184 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Ikram Aliskerov18-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Ikram Aliskerov owns a 86-point Elo edge (great). Ikram Aliskerov shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Jared Cannonier and Ikram Aliskerov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jared CannonierIkram Aliskerov

Recent form

Jared CannonierL L W L L · -38 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Ikram AliskerovW W W L W · +46 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Elo edge

Jared Cannonier1693-14 last move

Ikram Aliskerov1779+15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jared Cannonier#64 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1693 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Derek Brunson (rated 1775 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nassourdine Imavov (rated 1711 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -38 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #63 Azamat Bekoev, 0 ahead of #65 Kelvin Gastelum.

Ikram Aliskerov#10 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1779 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mario Filipe de Sousa (rated 1702 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Robert Whittaker (rated 1747 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +46 Elo in total.
Next places: 11 points behind #9 Nassourdine Imavov, 1 ahead of #11 Gregory Rodrigues.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

22%Jared Cannonier78%Ikram Aliskerov

Model favoriteIkram Aliskerov

Elo baseline62% for Ikram Aliskerov

Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Ikram AliskerovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Ikram Aliskerov leads the full model at 78%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 16 points.

Current Elo ratings1693 · 1779Ikram Aliskerov leads by 86 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1763 · 1659Jared Cannonier faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth22 · 21 fightsJared Cannonier has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJared Cannonier 0 · 4 Ikram AliskerovStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Ikram Aliskerov.

What's at stake

Jared CannonierNow 1693 · #64 Middleweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1713

Loses by decision-12→ 1681

Ikram AliskerovNow 1779 · #10 Middleweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1791

Loses by decision-20→ 1759

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jared CannoniervsIkram Aliskerov

Takedown accuracy

4%vs60%

Takedown average

0.54vs3.20

Submission average

0vs0.53

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.42vs6.86

Finishing profile

Jared CannonierKO/TKO leads 61% of wins

Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO leads 39% of wins

Common opponents

Robert Whittaker Jared Cannonier: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 24, 2020 Ikram Aliskerov: loss · KO (punches) · Jun 22, 2024

Nassourdine Imavov Jared Cannonier: loss · TKO (Punches) · Jun 8, 2024 Ikram Aliskerov: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Oct 21, 2023

Paulo CostaJared Cannonier: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Aug 21, 2021Ikram Aliskerov: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jul 29, 2023

Tale of the tape

Jared CannonierIkram Aliskerov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.42Sig. strikes landed per min6.86

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

50Sig. strike accuracy65

UFC middleweight average : 48%

4.35Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.47

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

56Sig. strike defense41

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.54Takedown average3.20

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

4Takedown accuracy60

UFC middleweight average : 30%

65Takedown defense100

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0Submission average0.53

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

11Wins by knockout7

2Wins by submission5

5Wins by decision6

3Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission0

7Losses by decision0

Jared Cannonier vs Ikram Aliskerov is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : PROCHAZKA VS STIRLING. Jared Cannonier enters with a 18-10-0 record and Ikram Aliskerov enters with a 18-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.