Shamil Gaziev vs Tallison Teixeira

Nov 21, 2026 · Paramount+

Combat Edge model forecast35%Shamil Gaziev65%Tallison TeixeiraFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 21, 2026

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueABHA Arena

BroadcastParamount+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 21, 2026 — watch on Paramount+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Shamil Gaziev15-3-0Shamil Gaziev vs Tallison TeixeiraTallison TeixeiraXicao |9-2-0

Shamil Gaziev15-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

15-3-0Record9-2-0

36Age26

6'3"Height6'7"

78"Reach83"

261 lbsWeight258 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Tallison TeixeiraXicao9-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Shamil Gaziev owns a 57-point Elo edge (good). Tallison Teixeira shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Shamil Gaziev and Tallison Teixeira across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Shamil GazievTallison Teixeira

Recent form

Shamil GazievW L L W W · 0 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Tallison TeixeiraL W L W W · +32 Elo last 5

LWLWW

Elo edge

Shamil Gaziev1729+18 last move

Tallison Teixeira1672-13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Shamil Gaziev#29 of 173 active Heavyweight fighters · 1729 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Darko Stosic (rated 1644 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Brando Peričić (rated 1629 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, 0 Elo in total.
Next places: 10 points behind #28 Salamu Abdurakhmanov, 7 ahead of #30 Maxim Grishin.

Tallison Teixeira#54 of 173 active Heavyweight fighters · 1672 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Justin Tafa (rated 1625 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Derrick Lewis (rated 1764 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +32 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #53 Jhonata Diniz, 2 ahead of #55 Lazar Todev.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

35%Shamil Gaziev65%Tallison Teixeira

Model favoriteTallison Teixeira

Elo baseline42% for Tallison Teixeira

Matchup adjustment+23 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Tallison TeixeiraStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Tallison Teixeira is 65%, after Elo alone favored Shamil Gaziev at 58%.

Current Elo ratings1729 · 1672Shamil Gaziev leads by 57 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1649 · 1583Shamil Gaziev faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth18 · 11 fightsShamil Gaziev has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesShamil Gaziev 1 · 3 Tallison TeixeiraStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Tallison Teixeira.

What's at stake

Shamil GazievNow 1729 · #29 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1742

Loses by decision-19→ 1710

Tallison TeixeiraNow 1672 · #54 Heavyweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1691

Loses by decision-13→ 1659

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Shamil GazievvsTallison Teixeira

Takedown accuracy

0%vs30%

Takedown defense

83%vs0%

Takedown average

1.06vs2.48

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.94vs5.02

Finishing profile

Shamil GazievKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Tallison TeixeiraKO/TKO leads 78% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Shamil GazievTallison Teixeira

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.94Sig. strikes landed per min5.02

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

46Sig. strike accuracy65

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

4.92Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.86

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

45Sig. strike defense43

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

1.06Takedown average2.48

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

0Takedown accuracy30

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

83Takedown defense0

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

0.26Submission average0

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

10Wins by knockout7

3Wins by submission1

2Wins by decision1

3Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Shamil Gaziev vs Tallison Teixeira is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : PROCHAZKA VS STIRLING. Shamil Gaziev enters with a 15-3-0 record and Tallison Teixeira enters with a 9-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.