Jesus Basco vs Pedro Henrique Dias

Oct 24, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast49%Jesus Basco51%Pedro Henrique DiasFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 24, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueBuesa Arena

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Jesus BascoQuijote |3-2-0Jesus Basco vs Pedro Henrique DiasPedro Henrique Dias3-2-0

Jesus BascoQuijote3-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-2-0Record3-2-0

26AgeTBD

6'1"HeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

165 lbsWeightTBD

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Pedro Henrique Dias3-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Pedro Henrique Dias owns a 11-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Jesus Basco and Pedro Henrique Dias across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jesus BascoPedro Henrique Dias

Recent form

Jesus BascoW L W W L · +25 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Pedro Henrique DiasW W L L W · +39 Elo last 5

WWLLW

Elo edge

Jesus Basco1525+27 last move

Pedro Henrique Dias1536+26 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jesus Basco#312 of 362 active Welterweight fighters · 1525 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mohamed Harrandau (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Pedro Magalhães (rated 1480 at the time): -33.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +25 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #311 Olivier Fleurmon, 1 ahead of #313 Connor Cyphert.

Pedro Henrique Dias#3 of 6 active Unassigned fighters · 1536 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jilberg dos Santos Jr. (rated 1500 at the time): +32.
Costliest loss: Lost to Daniel Frunza (rated 1475 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +39 Elo in total.
Next places: 10 points behind #2 Vincenzo Bussolotti, 16 ahead of #4 Jonny Becerra.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

49%Jesus Basco51%Pedro Henrique Dias

Model favoritePedro Henrique Dias

Elo baseline52% for Pedro Henrique Dias

Matchup adjustment-1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Pedro Henrique DiasStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Pedro Henrique Dias leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model keeps the same probability.

Current Elo ratings1525 · 1536Pedro Henrique Dias leads by 11 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1491 · 1503Pedro Henrique Dias faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 9 fightsPedro Henrique Dias has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Jesus BascoNow 1525 · #312 Welterweight

Wins by decision+25→ 1550

Loses by decision-23→ 1502

Pedro Henrique DiasNow 1536 · #3 Unassigned

Wins by decision+23→ 1559

Loses by decision-25→ 1511

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jesus BascovsPedro Henrique Dias

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Jesus Bascosubmission leads 67% of wins

Pedro Henrique DiasWin method split is limited

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Jesus BascoPedro Henrique Dias

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

1Wins by knockout0

2Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Jesus Basco vs Pedro Henrique Dias is a scheduled Welterweight fight on WOW 33 : GARCIA VS SANCHEZ. Jesus Basco enters with a 3-2-0 record and Pedro Henrique Dias enters with a 3-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.