John Castañeda vs Mark Vologdin

Apr 18, 2026 · PARAMOUNT +

DateApr 18, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueCANADA LIFE CENTRE

BroadcastPARAMOUNT +

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 18, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT +.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

John CastañedaSexi Mexi |21-9-1John Castañeda vs Mark VologdinMark Vologdin12-5-2

John CastañedaSexi Mexi21-9-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

21-9-1Record12-5-2

34Age26

5'7"Height5'5"

71"Reach65"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Mark Vologdin12-5-2

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

John Castañeda owns a 64-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare John Castañeda and Mark Vologdin across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

John CastañedaMark Vologdin

Recent form

John CastañedaL D L L W · -20 Elo last 5

LDLLW

Mark VologdinL D L W W · +3 Elo last 5

LDLWW

Elo edge

John Castañeda1684-13 last move

Mark Vologdin1620-13 last move

Why they are ranked here

John Castañeda#74 of 344 active Bantamweight fighters · 1684 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Miles Johns (rated 1719 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Daniel Santos (rated 1578 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 3 losses, -20 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #73 Angelo Robles, 1 ahead of #75 Cody Haddon.

Mark Vologdin#170 of 344 active Bantamweight fighters · 1620 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kyyalbek Akylbek Uulu (rated 1500 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Borislav Nikolić (rated 1694 at the time): -13.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, +3 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #169 Akhmed Musakaev, 1 ahead of #171 Lawrence Lui.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

John CastañedaNow 1684 · #74 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1694

Loses by decision-14→ 1670

Mark VologdinNow 1620 · #170 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1639

Loses by decision-13→ 1607

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

John CastañedavsMark Vologdin

Takedown accuracy

0%vs14%

Takedown average

1.49vs0.50

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.07vs10

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.95vs6.93

Finishing profile

John CastañedaKO/TKO leads 38% of wins

Mark VologdinKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

John CastañedaMark Vologdin

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.95Sig. strikes landed per min6.93

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

51Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

5.07Sig. strikes absorbed per min10

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

54Sig. strike defense41

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

1.49Takedown average0.50

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

0Takedown accuracy14

UFC bantamweight average : 27%

76Takedown defense57

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0.11Submission average0

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

8Wins by knockout6

6Wins by submission4

7Wins by decision2

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

7Losses by decision4

John Castañeda vs Mark Vologdin is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BURNS VS MALOTT. John Castañeda enters with a 21-9-1 record and Mark Vologdin enters with a 12-5-2 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.