Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti

Oct 17, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast17%Julien Leblanc83%Nick GalantiFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRogers Place

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Julien Leblanc10-3-0Julien Leblanc vs Nick GalantiNick Galanti8-1-0

Julien Leblanc10-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

10-3-0Record8-1-0

34Age28

6'2"Height6'1"

74.5"Reach75"

184 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Nick Galanti8-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Nick Galanti owns a 67-point Elo edge (good). Nick Galanti shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Julien Leblanc and Nick Galanti across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Julien LeblancNick Galanti

Recent form

Julien LeblancL W W W W · +45 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Nick GalantiW W W W W · +133 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Julien Leblanc1619-23 last move

Nick Galanti1686+34 last move

Why they are ranked here

Julien Leblanc#134 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1619 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Drayton Angus (rated 1500 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Damien Lapilus (rated 1445 at the time): -35.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +45 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #133 Austin Clayton, 0 ahead of #135 Luis Felipe Dias.

Nick Galanti#73 of 255 active Middleweight fighters · 1686 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Carlos Petruzzella (rated 1715 at the time): +34.
Costliest loss: Lost to Brandon Holmes (rated 1575 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +133 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #72 Mansur Abdul-Malik, 1 ahead of #74 Jordan Newman.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

17%Julien Leblanc83%Nick Galanti

Model favoriteNick Galanti

Elo baseline60% for Nick Galanti

Matchup adjustment+23 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Nick GalantiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Nick Galanti leads the full model at 83%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 23 points.

Current Elo ratings1619 · 1686Nick Galanti leads by 67 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1502 · 1555Nick Galanti faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 9 fightsJulien Leblanc has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJulien Leblanc 1 · 3 Nick GalantiStrongest available gap: Sig. strike defense toward Julien Leblanc.

What's at stake

Julien LeblancNow 1619 · #134 Middleweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1638

Loses by decision-13→ 1606

Nick GalantiNow 1686 · #73 Middleweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1705

Loses by decision-29→ 1657

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Julien LeblancvsNick Galanti

Sig. strike defense

46%vs0%

Sig. strikes landed per min

1.69vs13.71

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.96vs1.71

Sig. strike accuracy

67%vs80%

Finishing profile

Julien LeblancKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Nick Galantisubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Julien LeblancNick Galanti

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.69Sig. strikes landed per min13.71

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

67Sig. strike accuracy80

UFC middleweight average : 48%

2.96Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.71

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

46Sig. strike defense0

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0Takedown average0

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracy0

UFC middleweight average : 30%

0Takedown defense0

UFC middleweight average : 59%

0Submission average0

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

4Wins by knockout2

4Wins by submission4

2Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision1

Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTT. Julien Leblanc enters with a 10-3-0 record and Nick Galanti enters with a 8-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.