Louis Jourdain vs Timmy Cuamba

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRogers Place

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Louis JourdainThe Mad Prince |9-3-0Louis Jourdain vs Timmy CuambaTimmy CuambaTwilight Timmy |10-4-0

Louis JourdainThe Mad Prince9-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

9-3-0Record10-4-0

30Age27

5'9"Height5'8"

69" Reach71"

135 lbsWeight145 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Timmy CuambaTwilight Timmy10-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Timmy Cuamba owns a 46-point Elo edge (good). Louis Jourdain shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Louis Jourdain and Timmy Cuamba across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Louis JourdainTimmy Cuamba

Recent form

Louis JourdainW W W W L · +58 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Timmy CuambaL W W L L · -13 Elo last 5

LWWLL

Elo edge

Louis Jourdain1607+21 last move

Timmy Cuamba1653-20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

22%Louis Jourdain78%Timmy Cuamba

Model favoriteTimmy Cuamba

Elo baseline57% for Timmy Cuamba

Matchup adjustment+21 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Timmy CuambaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Timmy Cuamba leads the full model at 78%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 21 points.

Current Elo ratings1607 · 1653Timmy Cuamba leads by 46 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1507 · 1598Timmy Cuamba faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth12 · 15 fightsTimmy Cuamba has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesLouis Jourdain 3 · 1 Timmy CuambaStrongest available gap: Takedown average toward Timmy Cuamba.

Stat advantages

Louis JourdainvsTimmy Cuamba

Takedown average

0vs1.31

Submission average

1.41vs0

Sig. strikes landed per min

7.32vs2.77

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.44vs3.58

Finishing profile

Louis JourdainKO/TKO leads 44% of wins

Timmy CuambaKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Louis JourdainTimmy Cuamba

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.32Sig. strikes landed per min2.77

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

49Sig. strike accuracy44

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

2.44Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.58

UFC bantamweight average : 3.76

54Sig. strike defense58

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

0Takedown average1.31

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

Not availableTakedown accuracy32

UFC bantamweight average : 29%

67Takedown defense72

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

1.41Submission average0

UFC bantamweight average : 0.51

4Wins by knockout5

2Wins by submission0

3Wins by decision5

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision2

Louis Jourdain vs Timmy Cuamba is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTT. Louis Jourdain enters with a 9-3-0 record and Timmy Cuamba enters with a 10-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.