Kaleo Meheula vs Kazuki Aimoto

Nov 8, 2026 · RIZIN.TV

Combat Edge model forecast21%Kaleo Meheula79%Kazuki AimotoFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLaLa arena TOKYO-BAY

BroadcastRIZIN.TV

Kaleo MeheulaAbijah / The Disciple |7-4-0Kaleo Meheula vs Kazuki AimotoKazuki Aimoto10-0-0

Kaleo MeheulaAbijah / The Disciple7-4-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

7-4-0Record10-0-0

30Age25

5'9"Height5'9"

TBDReachTBD

149 lbsWeight156 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Kazuki Aimoto10-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kazuki Aimoto owns a 143-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kaleo Meheula and Kazuki Aimoto across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kaleo MeheulaKazuki Aimoto

Recent form

Kaleo MeheulaW L W W W · +72 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Kazuki AimotoW W W W W · +74 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Kaleo Meheula1552+27 last move

Kazuki Aimoto1695+14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Kaleo Meheula#358 of 455 active Lightweight fighters · 1552 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Brandon Ahrndt (rated 1500 at the time): +33.
Costliest loss: Lost to Kevin Boehm (rated 1430 at the time): -32.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +72 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #357 Shawn Tillman, 1 ahead of #359 Satoru Kitaoka.

Kazuki Aimoto#83 of 455 active Lightweight fighters · 1695 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Toshiki Mori (rated 1531 at the time): +29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +74 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #82 Rafael dos Anjos, 0 ahead of #84 Marcin Held.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1491 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

21%Kaleo Meheula79%Kazuki Aimoto

Model favoriteKazuki Aimoto

Elo baseline69% for Kazuki Aimoto

Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Kazuki AimotoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Kazuki Aimoto leads the full model at 79%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 10 points.

Current Elo ratings1552 · 1695Kazuki Aimoto leads by 143 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1484 · 1491Kazuki Aimoto faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth10 · 10 fightsThe published ratings use the same number of counted fights.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Kaleo MeheulaNow 1552 · #358 Lightweight

Wins by decision+22→ 1574

Loses by decision-10→ 1542

Kazuki AimotoNow 1695 · #83 Lightweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1705

Loses by decision-22→ 1673

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kaleo MeheulavsKazuki Aimoto

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kaleo MeheulaKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Kazuki AimotoKO/TKO leads 80% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kaleo MeheulaKazuki Aimoto

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.81

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

4Wins by knockout8

1Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision0

Kaleo Meheula vs Kazuki Aimoto is a scheduled Featherweight fight on RIZIN 55. Kaleo Meheula enters with a 7-4-0 record and Kazuki Aimoto enters with a 10-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.