Kyung Pyo Kim vs Nurkhan Zhumagazy

Nov 8, 2026 · RIZIN.TV

Combat Edge model forecast43%Kyung Pyo Kim57%Nurkhan ZhumagazyFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLaLa arena TOKYO-BAY

BroadcastRIZIN.TV

Kyung Pyo KimRed Horse |15-5-0Kyung Pyo Kim vs Nurkhan ZhumagazyNurkhan Zhumagazy11-1-0

Kyung Pyo KimRed Horse15-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

15-5-0Record11-1-0

34Age25

5'10"Height5'11"

TBDReachTBD

156 lbsWeight156 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Nurkhan Zhumagazy11-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Nurkhan Zhumagazy owns a 12-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kyung Pyo Kim and Nurkhan Zhumagazy across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kyung Pyo KimNurkhan Zhumagazy

Recent form

Kyung Pyo KimW W L W W · +49 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Nurkhan ZhumagazyW W W W W · +81 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Kyung Pyo Kim1679+18 last move

Nurkhan Zhumagazy1691+12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Kyung Pyo Kim#107 of 455 active Lightweight fighters · 1679 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Yusuke Yachi (rated 1636 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Timur Nagibin (rated 1572 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +49 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #106 Kacper Formela, 0 ahead of #108 Logan Paxton.

Nurkhan Zhumagazy#89 of 455 active Lightweight fighters · 1691 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Eduardo Castro (rated 1560 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Vladislav Rudnev (rated 1555 at the time): -34.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +81 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #88 Ieuan Davies, 0 ahead of #90 Richie Miranda.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

43%Kyung Pyo Kim57%Nurkhan Zhumagazy

Model favoriteNurkhan Zhumagazy

Elo baseline52% for Nurkhan Zhumagazy

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Nurkhan ZhumagazyStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Nurkhan Zhumagazy leads the full model at 57%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 5 points.

Current Elo ratings1679 · 1691Nurkhan Zhumagazy leads by 12 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1586 · 1527Kyung Pyo Kim faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth20 · 12 fightsKyung Pyo Kim has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Kyung Pyo KimNow 1679 · #107 Lightweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1696

Loses by decision-15→ 1664

Nurkhan ZhumagazyNow 1691 · #89 Lightweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1706

Loses by decision-17→ 1674

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kyung Pyo KimvsNurkhan Zhumagazy

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kyung Pyo KimKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Nurkhan ZhumagazyKO/TKO leads 55% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kyung Pyo KimNurkhan Zhumagazy

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.81

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

9Wins by knockout6

4Wins by submission3

2Wins by decision2

1Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission1

3Losses by decision0

Kyung Pyo Kim vs Nurkhan Zhumagazy is a scheduled Lightweight fight on RIZIN 55. Kyung Pyo Kim enters with a 15-5-0 record and Nurkhan Zhumagazy enters with a 11-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.