Tatsuya Saika vs Daigo Kuramoto

Nov 8, 2026 · RIZIN.TV

Combat Edge model forecast38%Tatsuya Saika62%Daigo KuramotoFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLaLa arena TOKYO-BAY

BroadcastRIZIN.TV

Tatsuya SaikaYanbo |14-8-0Tatsuya Saika vs Daigo KuramotoDaigo Kuramoto8-3-0

Tatsuya SaikaYanbo14-8-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

14-8-0Record8-3-0

36Age32

5'11"Height5'10"

TBDReachTBD

156 lbsWeight155 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Daigo Kuramoto8-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tatsuya Saika owns a 7-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Tatsuya Saika and Daigo Kuramoto across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Tatsuya SaikaDaigo Kuramoto

Recent form

Tatsuya SaikaL L W L W · -29 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Daigo KuramotoL W L W L · -49 Elo last 5

LWLWL

Elo edge

Tatsuya Saika1572-20 last move

Daigo Kuramoto1565-24 last move

Why they are ranked here

Tatsuya Saika#322 of 455 active Lightweight fighters · 1572 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Takasuke Kume (rated 1592 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Won Bin Ki (rated 1488 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -29 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #321 Lando Vannata, 2 ahead of #323 Julian Schlouch.

Daigo Kuramoto#330 of 455 active Lightweight fighters · 1565 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Satoru Kitaoka (rated 1578 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Naohiro Matsumoto (rated 1509 at the time): -37.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -49 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #329 Ednilson Santos, 0 ahead of #331 Edmund Kwan.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

38%Tatsuya Saika62%Daigo Kuramoto

Model favoriteDaigo Kuramoto

Elo baseline49% for Daigo Kuramoto

Matchup adjustment+13 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Daigo KuramotoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Daigo Kuramoto is 62%, after Elo alone favored Tatsuya Saika at 51%.

Current Elo ratings1572 · 1565Tatsuya Saika leads by 7 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1570 · 1519Tatsuya Saika faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth22 · 12 fightsTatsuya Saika has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Tatsuya SaikaNow 1572 · #322 Lightweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1588

Loses by decision-16→ 1556

Daigo KuramotoNow 1565 · #330 Lightweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1581

Loses by decision-16→ 1549

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Tatsuya SaikavsDaigo Kuramoto

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Tatsuya SaikaKO/TKO leads 93% of wins

Daigo KuramotoKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Tatsuya SaikaDaigo Kuramoto

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.81

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

13Wins by knockout5

0Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision3

6Losses by knockout3

2Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Tatsuya Saika vs Daigo Kuramoto is a scheduled Lightweight fight on RIZIN 55. Tatsuya Saika enters with a 14-8-0 record and Daigo Kuramoto enters with a 8-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.