Recent form
Merab DvalishviliL L W W W · +17 Elo last 5
LLWWW
Marlon MoraesW L L L L · -48 Elo last 5
WLLLL
DateNov 14, 2026
DivisionCatchweight Crossover
StatusScheduled
VenueEtihad Arena
BroadcastFox Nation
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Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch
Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on Fox Nation.
- US East (ET)
- Sat 11:00 AM
- US West (PT)
- Sat 8:00 AM
- United Kingdom
- Sat 4:00 PM
- Central Europe
- Sat 5:00 PM
- Australia (Sydney)
- Sun 3:00 AM
- Your time
Merab Dvalishvili
Elo1831Great
3Y trend1797 → 1831
Fight Overview
RoundTBD
TimeTBD
21-6-0Record23-13-1
35Age38
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Catchweight CrossoverWeight ClassCatchweight Crossover
Marlon Moraes
Elo1656Good
3Y trend1656 → 1656
What changed?
Checked daily by Combat Edge. Times show when we recorded an update, not when it was announced.
Combat Edge Intelligence
Fight Intelligence
Merab Dvalishvili owns a 175-point Elo edge (great). Merab Dvalishvili shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.
Compare Merab Dvalishvili and Marlon Moraes across their careers →Elo Recent career Elo trajectory
Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.
Merab DvalishviliMarlon Moraes
Elo edge
Merab Dvalishvili1831-13 last move
Marlon Moraes1656+6 last move
Why they are ranked here
Merab Dvalishvili#2 of 385 active Bantamweight fighters · 1831 Elo
- Biggest gain
- Beat José Aldo (rated 1814 at the time): +19.
- Costliest loss
- Lost to Petr Yan (rated 1803 at the time): -14.
- Last 5 fights
- 3 wins, 2 losses, +17 Elo in total.
- Next places
- 3 points behind #1 Petr Yan, 16 ahead of #3 Sean O'Malley.
Marlon Moraes#123 of 385 active Bantamweight fighters · 1656 Elo
- Biggest gain
- Beat José Aldo (rated 1810 at the time): +15.
- Costliest loss
- Lost to Cory Sandhagen (rated 1720 at the time): -23.
- Last 5 fights
- 1 win, 4 losses, -48 Elo in total.
- Next places
- 0 points behind #122 Brad Katona, 1 ahead of #124 Cristian Quiñonez.
Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated
Model forecast and your pick
Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.
Combat Edge Model
Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04Fight forecast
91%Merab Dvalishvili9%Marlon Moraes
Model favoriteMerab Dvalishvili
Elo baseline73% for Merab Dvalishvili
Matchup adjustment+18 pts vs Elo
Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.
Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.
Forecast context
Model + Elo agreeWhat separates the fighters
Merab Dvalishvili leads the full model at 91%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 18 points.
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?
Pick every bout on this card →Your pick stays private unless you choose to share a completed card.
What's at stake
Merab DvalishviliNow 1831 · #2 Bantamweight
Wins by decision+6→ 1837
Loses by decision-18→ 1813
Marlon MoraesNow 1656 · #123 Bantamweight
Wins by decision+18→ 1674
Loses by decision-6→ 1650
What-if simulatorPremium
Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.
Merab Dvalishvili
Marlon Moraes
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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.
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Stat advantages
Merab DvalishvilivsMarlon Moraes
Takedown average
5.74vs0.87
Takedown accuracy
4%vs8%
Takedown defense
76%vs46%
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
2.98vs4.53
Finishing profile
Merab Dvalishvilidecision leads 76% of wins
Marlon MoraesKO/TKO leads 43% of wins
Common opponents
Ray BorgMerab Dvalishvili: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 13, 2020Marlon Moraes: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · May 24, 2025
Cory SandhagenMerab Dvalishvili: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 4, 2025Marlon Moraes: loss · TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches) · Oct 10, 2020
Petr YanMerab Dvalishvili: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 24, 2026Marlon Moraes: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Jun 13, 2020
Tale of the tape
Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes is a scheduled Catchweight Crossover fight on RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN. Merab Dvalishvili enters with a 21-6-0 record and Marlon Moraes enters with a 23-13-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.
Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes quick answers
When is Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes?
Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes is listed for RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN on Nov 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST.
What event is Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes on?
Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes is listed on RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN.
What are the records for Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes?
Merab Dvalishvili enters with a 21-6-0 record and Marlon Moraes enters with a 23-13-1 record.
What division is Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes?
Merab Dvalishvili vs Marlon Moraes is listed as a Catchweight Crossover fight.
Combat Edge coverage
Articles on Merab Dvalishvili and Marlon Moraes
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