Mohadi Nazirov vs Ibrahima Dosso

Oct 31, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast45%Mohadi Nazirov55%Ibrahima DossoFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueZénith de Strasbourg

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 2:30 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:30 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:30 AM
Your time

Mohadi Nazirov1-0-0Mohadi Nazirov vs Ibrahima DossoIbrahima Dosso2-2-0

Mohadi Nazirov1-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

1-0-0Record2-2-0

TBDAgeTBD

TBDHeightTBD

TBDReachTBD

185 lbsWeightTBD

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Ibrahima Dosso2-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mohadi Nazirov owns a 20-point Elo edge (average). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Mohadi Nazirov and Ibrahima Dosso across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mohadi NazirovIbrahima Dosso

Recent form

Mohadi NazirovW · +27 Elo last 1

Ibrahima DossoL W W L · +7 Elo last 4

LWWL

Elo edge

Mohadi Nazirov1527+27 last move

Ibrahima Dosso1507-25 last move

Why they are ranked here

Mohadi Nazirov#250 of 282 active Middleweight fighters · 1527 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Edhem Hrustic (rated 1477 at the time): +27.
Next places: 1 point behind #249 Kennedy Rayomba, 1 ahead of #251 Arkaitz Ramos.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1477 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.
Sample: Only 1 rated fight, so each result still moves this rating more than a veteran's.

Ibrahima Dosso#336 of 376 active Welterweight fighters · 1507 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Emilios Dassi (rated 1529 at the time): +33.
Costliest loss: Lost to Magomed Umalov (rated 1511 at the time): -25.
Last 4 fights: 2 wins, 2 losses, +7 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #335 Kyron Bowen, 0 ahead of #337 Maiwand Hamras.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

45%Mohadi Nazirov55%Ibrahima Dosso

Model favoriteIbrahima Dosso

Elo baseline47% for Ibrahima Dosso

Matchup adjustment+8 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Ibrahima DossoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Ibrahima Dosso is 55%, after Elo alone favored Mohadi Nazirov at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1527 · 1507Mohadi Nazirov leads by 20 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1477 · 1510Ibrahima Dosso faced the stronger recent schedule (1 vs 4 sampled fights).

Elo record depth1 · 4 fightsIbrahima Dosso has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Mohadi NazirovNow 1527 · #250 Middleweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1550

Loses by decision-25→ 1502

Ibrahima DossoNow 1507 · #336 Welterweight

Wins by decision+25→ 1532

Loses by decision-23→ 1484

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Mohadi NazirovvsIbrahima Dosso

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Mohadi NazirovKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Ibrahima DossoWin method split is limited

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Mohadi NazirovIbrahima Dosso

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 48%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 52%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC middleweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC middleweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

1Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Mohadi Nazirov vs Ibrahima Dosso is a scheduled Middleweight fight on ARES FC 44 : YOUNOUSOV VS NAM. Mohadi Nazirov enters with a 1-0-0 record and Ibrahima Dosso enters with a 2-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.