Tony Ferguson vs Donald Cerrone

Jun 9, 2019 · ESPN+

DateJun 9, 2019

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueUnited Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, June 9, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 11:00 AM
Your time

Tony FergusonEl Cucuy |25-11-0Tony Ferguson vs Donald CerroneDonald CerroneCowboy |36-17-0

Tony FergusonEl Cucuy25-11-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time5:00

25-11-0Record36-17-0

42Age43

6'0"Height6'0"

76"Reach73"

155 lbsWeight170 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Donald CerroneCowboy36-17-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Donald Cerrone owns a 51-point Elo edge (good). Donald Cerrone shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Tony Ferguson and Donald Cerrone across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Tony FergusonDonald Cerrone

Recent form

Tony FergusonL L L L L · -91 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Donald CerroneL L L L L · -69 Elo last 5

LLLLL

Elo edge

Tony Ferguson1658-14 last move

Donald Cerrone1709-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

Tony FergusonNot on the active ladder · 1658 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Donald Cerrone (rated 1793 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Nate Diaz (rated 1671 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -91 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1633, not 1658: 25 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Donald CerroneNot on the active ladder · 1709 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alexander Hernandez (rated 1703 at the time): +12.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alex Morono (rated 1702 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 0 wins, 5 losses, -69 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1619, not 1709: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Tony FergusonNow 1658

Wins by decision+14→ 1672

Loses by decision-10→ 1648

Donald CerroneNow 1709

Wins by decision+10→ 1719

Loses by decision-14→ 1695

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Tony FergusonvsDonald Cerrone

Takedown average

0.39vs1.16

Submission average

0.88vs1.16

Takedown defense

66%vs74%

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.91vs4.41

Finishing profile

Tony FergusonKO/TKO leads 48% of wins

Donald Cerronesubmission leads 47% of wins

Common opponents

Anthony Pettis Tony Ferguson: win · TKO (corner stoppage) · Oct 6, 2018 Donald Cerrone: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · May 9, 2020

Justin Gaethje Tony Ferguson: loss · TKO (punch) · May 9, 2020 Donald Cerrone: loss · TKO (punches) · Sep 14, 2019

Yancy Medeiros Tony Ferguson: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 28, 2015 Donald Cerrone: win · TKO (punches) · Feb 18, 2018

Tale of the tape

Tony FergusonDonald Cerrone

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.91Sig. strikes landed per min4.41

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

46Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC lightweight average : 46%

4.37Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.48

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

55Sig. strike defense53

UFC lightweight average : 53%

0.39Takedown average1.16

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

35Takedown accuracy33

UFC lightweight average : 28%

66Takedown defense74

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0.88Submission average1.16

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

12Wins by knockout10

8Wins by submission17

5Wins by decision9

2Losses by knockout8

4Losses by submission2

5Losses by decision7

Tony Ferguson vs Donald Cerrone is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC 238 : CEJUDO VS MORAES. Tony Ferguson enters with a 25-11-0 record and Donald Cerrone enters with a 36-17-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.