UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott takes place on Saturday, October 17 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Canada, airing on Paramount+. Joaquin Buckley (21-8-0) meets Mike Malott (14-2-1) in the main event, scheduled for five rounds. The Combat Edge model barely separates them, giving Malott 55%, with Elo ratings pointing the same way.
Buckley has lost two in a row. Malott enters on a four-fight win streak.
Main event: Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott
| Joaquin Buckley | Mike Malott | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-8-0 | Record | 14-2-1 |
| 32 | Age | 34 |
| 5'8" | Height | 6'1" |
| 76" | Reach | 73" |
| United States | Country | Canada |
| 1755 (#29) | Combat Edge Elo | 1762 (#26) |
| L L W W W | Last 5 | W W W W L |
Malott carries the higher Combat Edge Elo (1762 to 1755), a 7-point gap. Our pick: Mike Malott (55%).
Co-main event: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
Erin Blanchfield (14-2-0) faces Jasmine Jasudavicius (15-4-0) at women's flyweight. The model has Blanchfield at 71%.
UFC Fight Night predictions: every fight
| Fight | Model pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Main card | ||
| Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott | Mike Malott | 55% |
| Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius | Erin Blanchfield | 71% |
| Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Pérez | Cristian Pérez | 64% |
| Marc-André Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus | Kyle Daukaus | 76% |
| Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba | Timmy Cuamba | 77% |
| Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr | Mandel Nallo | 51% |
| Prelims | ||
| Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz | Jhonata Diniz | 58% |
| Julien Leblanc vs. Nick Galanti | Nick Galanti | 83% |
| Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier | Joel Faglier | 62% |
| Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller | Katlyn Cerminara | 59% |
| Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow | Steven Koslow | 62% |
| Melissa Croden vs. Chelsea Chandler | Melissa Croden | 58% |
| Cody Chovancek vs. Su Young You | Su Young You | 52% |
Fights to watch
- Closest call: Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr — the model has Nallo at just 51%.
- Biggest favorite: Nick Galanti at 83% in Julien Leblanc vs. Nick Galanti.
- Model vs. Elo: in Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr, the model picks Mandel Nallo (51%) even though Elo favors the other side.
- Hottest streak: Nick Galanti enters on five straight wins.
Make your picks
Think you can beat the model? Pick every fight for free on the UFC Fight Night predictions page — picks lock when the card starts and are graded the morning after. Full bout order and start times are on the UFC Fight Night fight card.
This preview is generated from Combat Edge's fight database and prediction model. Win probabilities are frozen before the event and graded publicly on our accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
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