Joaquin Buckley21-9-0
Mike Malott15-2-1
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Mike Malott won
45%Joaquin Buckley55%Mike Malott
Combat Edge Model · Full card
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott (October 17, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
13Total bouts
13Frozen forecasts
3Close matchups
3Model / Elo splits
4Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 13 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Erin Blanchfield14-3-0
Jasmine Jasudavicius16-4-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Jasmine Jasudavicius won
72%Erin Blanchfield29%Jasmine Jasudavicius
Kyle Nelson17-8-1
Cristian Pérez16-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Cristian Pérez won
36%Kyle Nelson64%Cristian Pérez
Marc-André Barriault18-11-0
Kyle Daukaus17-6-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Marc-André Barriault won
24%Marc-André Barriault76%Kyle Daukaus
Louis Jourdain9-4-0
Timmy Cuamba11-4-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Timmy Cuamba won
23%Louis Jourdain77%Timmy Cuamba
Mandel Nallo15-4-0
Nate Landwehr18-9-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Mandel Nallo won
51%Mandel Nallo49%Nate Landwehr
Prelims
Prelims predictions
7 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Tanner Boser23-11-1
Jhonata Diniz9-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Tanner Boser won
42%Tanner Boser58%Jhonata Diniz
Julien Leblanc10-4-0
Nick Galanti9-1-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Nick Galanti won
17%Julien Leblanc83%Nick Galanti
Javad Mahjoub5-1-0
Joel Faglier7-0-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Joel Faglier won
38%Javad Mahjoub62%Joel Faglier
Katlyn Cerminara19-6-0
Mackenzie Stiller6-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Katlyn Cerminara won
59%Katlyn Cerminara41%Mackenzie Stiller
Chad Anheliger13-9-0
Steven Koslow7-1-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Steven Koslow won
38%Chad Anheliger62%Steven Koslow
Melissa Croden8-4-0
Chelsea Chandler8-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Chelsea Chandler won
58%Melissa Croden42%Chelsea Chandler
Cody Chovancek9-1-0
Su Young You17-4-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Su Young You won
48%Cody Chovancek52%Su Young You