UFC FIGHT NIGHT : EVLOEV VS MURPHY predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : EVLOEV VS MURPHY (March 21, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data, frozen before fight night, and graded on the accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Start time & how to watch
Main card starts Saturday, March 21, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.
- US East (ET)
- Sat 4:00 PM
- US West (PT)
- Sat 1:00 PM
- United Kingdom
- Sat 8:00 PM
- Central Europe
- Sat 9:00 PM
- Australia (Sydney)
- Sun 7:00 AM
- Your time
No frozen predictions for this card yet — the model scores every bout once the matchups are locked. Check back shortly.
Main card
Movsar Evloev Result recorded — see fight page Lerone Murphy Luke Riley Result recorded — see fight page Michael Aswell Michael Page Result recorded — see fight page Sam Patterson Iwo Baraniewski Result recorded — see fight page Austen Lane Roman Dolidze Result recorded — see fight page Christian Leroy Duncan Kurtis Campbell Result recorded — see fight page Danny Silva
Prelims
Mason Jones Result recorded — see fight page Axel Sola Nathaniel Wood Result recorded — see fight page Losene Keita Mario Pinto Result recorded — see fight page Felipe Franco Mantas Kondratavičius Result recorded — see fight page Antonio Trócoli Louie Sutherland Result recorded — see fight page Brando Peričić Shaqueme Rock Result recorded — see fight page Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady Shanelle Dyer Result recorded — see fight page Ravena Oliveira