Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Azamat BekoevIron |20-5-0Azamat Bekoev vs Andre PetroskiAndre Petroski13-6-0

Azamat BekoevIron20-5-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

20-5-0Record13-6-0

30Age35

5'11"Height6'0"

72"Reach73"

185 lbsWeight186 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Andre Petroski13-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Azamat Bekoev owns a 46-point Elo edge (good). Andre Petroski shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Azamat Bekoev and Andre Petroski across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Azamat BekoevAndre Petroski

Recent form

Azamat BekoevL L W W W · -17 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Andre PetroskiL L L W W · -35 Elo last 5

LLLWW

Elo edge

Azamat Bekoev1694-28 last move

Andre Petroski1648-25 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

50%Azamat Bekoev50%Andre Petroski

Model favoriteAzamat Bekoev

Elo baseline57% for Azamat Bekoev

Matchup adjustment-7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Azamat BekoevStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Andre Petroski is 50%, after Elo alone favored Azamat Bekoev at 57%.

Current Elo ratings1694 · 1648Azamat Bekoev leads by 46 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1575 · 1653Andre Petroski faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth25 · 19 fightsAzamat Bekoev has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesAzamat Bekoev 1 · 3 Andre PetroskiStrongest available gap: Submission average toward Andre Petroski.

Stat advantages

Azamat BekoevvsAndre Petroski

Submission average

0vs1.28

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

7.66vs2.79

Sig. strike defense

32%vs53%

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.07vs2.81

Finishing profile

Azamat BekoevKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Andre Petroskidecision leads 38% of wins

Common opponents

Dylan BudkaAzamat Bekoev: win · Decision (Split) · Jun 16, 2023Andre Petroski: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Sep 7, 2024

Tale of the tape

Azamat BekoevAndre Petroski

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.07Sig. strikes landed per min2.81

UFC middleweight average : 3.85

46Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC middleweight average : 48%

7.66Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.79

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

32Sig. strike defense53

UFC middleweight average : 52%

4.49Takedown average3.15

UFC middleweight average : 1.69

45Takedown accuracy52

UFC middleweight average : 31%

80Takedown defense86

UFC middleweight average : 58%

0Submission average1.28

UFC middleweight average : 0.69

8Wins by knockout4

8Wins by submission4

4Wins by decision5

1Losses by knockout5

2Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision1

Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MOICANO VS NOLAN. Azamat Bekoev enters with a 20-5-0 record and Andre Petroski enters with a 13-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.