Julian Erosa vs Jeong Yeong Lee

Oct 31, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast37%Julian Erosa63%Jeong Yeong LeeFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Julian ErosaJuicy J |31-13-0Julian Erosa vs Jeong Yeong LeeJeong Yeong LeeThe Korean Tiger |11-3-0

Julian ErosaJuicy J31-13-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

31-13-0Record11-3-0

37Age30

6'1"Height5'10"

74"Reach73"

145 lbsWeight146 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Jeong Yeong LeeThe Korean Tiger11-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Julian Erosa owns a 20-point Elo edge (good). Julian Erosa shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Julian Erosa and Jeong Yeong Lee across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Julian ErosaJeong Yeong Lee

Recent form

Julian ErosaL L W W W · +11 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Jeong Yeong LeeL L W W W · +9 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Julian Erosa1695-19 last move

Jeong Yeong Lee1675-19 last move

Why they are ranked here

Julian Erosa#80 of 375 active Featherweight fighters · 1695 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Christian Rodriguez (rated 1714 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Lerryan Douglas (rated 1597 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +11 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #79 T.J. Laramie, 1 ahead of #81 Jose Delgado.

Jeong Yeong Lee#110 of 375 active Featherweight fighters · 1675 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Bin Xie (rated 1618 at the time): +28.
Costliest loss: Lost to Hyder Amil (rated 1698 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +9 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #109 Humberto Bandenay, 2 ahead of #111 Levy Saúl Marroquín.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

37%Julian Erosa63%Jeong Yeong Lee

Model favoriteJeong Yeong Lee

Elo baseline47% for Jeong Yeong Lee

Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Jeong Yeong LeeStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Jeong Yeong Lee is 63%, after Elo alone favored Julian Erosa at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1695 · 1675Julian Erosa leads by 20 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1671 · 1609Julian Erosa faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth44 · 15 fightsJulian Erosa has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJulian Erosa 3 · 1 Jeong Yeong LeeStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Julian Erosa.

What's at stake

Julian ErosaNow 1695 · #80 Featherweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1706

Loses by decision-13→ 1682

Jeong Yeong LeeNow 1675 · #110 Featherweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1692

Loses by decision-15→ 1660

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Julian ErosavsJeong Yeong Lee

Takedown accuracy

8%vs0%

Takedown average

1.73vs0.63

Sig. strikes landed per min

6.18vs3.38

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

6.31vs3.82

Finishing profile

Julian Erosasubmission leads 45% of wins

Jeong Yeong LeeKO/TKO leads 36% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Julian ErosaJeong Yeong Lee

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.18Sig. strikes landed per min3.38

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

48Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC featherweight average : 46%

6.31Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.82

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

49Sig. strike defense51

UFC featherweight average : 54%

1.73Takedown average0.63

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

8Takedown accuracy0

UFC featherweight average : 29%

62Takedown defense73

UFC featherweight average : 55%

0.71Submission average0.32

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

12Wins by knockout4

14Wins by submission3

5Wins by decision4

8Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

5Losses by decision2

Julian Erosa vs Jeong Yeong Lee is a scheduled Featherweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MOICANO VS NOLAN. Julian Erosa enters with a 31-13-0 record and Jeong Yeong Lee enters with a 11-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.