UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev

EventUFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV
DateOct 24, 2026
DivisionLightweight
StatusScheduled
VenueEtihad Arena
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Combat Edge ModelElo alone: 60% / 40%
Grant Dawson 58%42% Nurullo Aliev

Win probability from the Combat Edge prediction model (v0.5-2026-07-01), computed before the fight from Elo, records, and matchup data. Analytics, not betting advice.

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Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 24, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 5:00 AM

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV. Grant Dawson enters with a 24-3-1 record and Nurullo Aliev enters with a 12-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev quick answers

When is Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev?

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev is listed for UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV on Oct 24, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST.

What event is Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev on?

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev is listed on UFC 333 : VOLKANOVSKI VS EVLOEV.

What are the records for Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev?

Grant Dawson enters with a 24-3-1 record and Nurullo Aliev enters with a 12-0-0 record.

What division is Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev?

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev is listed as a Lightweight fight.

Grant DawsonKGD |24-3-1Grant Dawson vs Nurullo AlievNurullo AlievTajik Eagle |12-0-0
usGrant DawsonKGD24-3-1Grant Dawsonus

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
24-3-1Record12-0-0
32Age26
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
LightweightWeight ClassLightweight
tjNurullo AlievTajik Eagle12-0-0tjNurullo Aliev
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Grant Dawson owns a 69-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Full Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev comparison →

Recent form

Grant DawsonW L W W W · +31 Elo last 5
WLWWW
Nurullo AlievW W W W W · +90 Elo last 5
WWWWW

Elo edge

Grant Dawson1802+13 last move
Nurullo Aliev1733+14 last move

Stat advantages

Grant DawsonvsNurullo Aliev
Takedown accuracy
0%vs10%
Submission average
1.36vs0.46
Sig. strikes landed per min
3.14vs2.29
Sig. strikes absorbed per min
2.14vs1.59

Finishing profile

Grant Dawsonsubmission leads 58% of wins
Nurullo Alievdecision leads 83% of wins

Tale of the tape

Grant DawsonNurullo Aliev
3.14Sig. strikes landed per min2.29
UFC lightweight average : 3.82
51Sig. strike accuracy44
UFC lightweight average : 46%
2.14Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.59
UFC lightweight average : 3.91
45Sig. strike defense55
UFC lightweight average : 54%
3.58Takedown average3.48
UFC lightweight average : 1.70
0Takedown accuracy10
UFC lightweight average : 31%
67Takedown defense80
UFC lightweight average : 58%
1.36Submission average0.46
UFC lightweight average : 0.52
5Wins by knockout2
14Wins by submission0
5Wins by decision10
3Losses by knockout0
0Losses by submission0
0Losses by decision0

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