Jiří Procházka vs Navajo Stirling

Nov 21, 2026 · Paramount+

Combat Edge model forecast33%Jiří Procházka67%Navajo StirlingFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 21, 2026

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueABHA Arena

BroadcastParamount+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 21, 2026 — watch on Paramount+.

US East (ET): Sat 1:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 10:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 6:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 7:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

Jiří ProcházkaBJP |32-6-1Jiří Procházka vs Navajo StirlingNavajo Stirling11-0-0

Jiří ProcházkaBJP32-6-1

Fight Overview

Round5

Time5:00

32-6-1Record11-0-0

33Age28

6'4"Height6'4"

80"Reach79"

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Navajo Stirling11-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jiří Procházka owns a 43-point Elo edge (great). Navajo Stirling shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Jiří Procházka and Navajo Stirling across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jiří ProcházkaNavajo Stirling

Recent form

Jiří ProcházkaL W W L W · 0 Elo last 5

LWWLW

Navajo StirlingW W W W W · +119 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Jiří Procházka1804-15 last move

Navajo Stirling1761+20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jiří Procházka#3 of 163 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1804 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Glover Teixeira (rated 1842 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alex Pereira (rated 1714 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, 0 Elo in total.
Next places: 13 points behind #2 Carlos Ulberg, 9 ahead of #4 Muslim Magomedov.

Navajo Stirling#8 of 163 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1761 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Phillip Latu (rated 1616 at the time): +31.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +119 Elo in total.
Next places: 13 points behind #7 Reinier de Ridder, 7 ahead of #9 Paulo Costa.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1597 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

33%Jiří Procházka67%Navajo Stirling

Model favoriteNavajo Stirling

Elo baseline44% for Navajo Stirling

Matchup adjustment+23 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Navajo StirlingStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Navajo Stirling is 68%, after Elo alone favored Jiří Procházka at 56%.

Current Elo ratings1804 · 1761Jiří Procházka leads by 43 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1730 · 1597Jiří Procházka faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth30 · 11 fightsJiří Procházka has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJiří Procházka 1 · 3 Navajo StirlingStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Jiří Procházka.

What's at stake

Jiří ProcházkaNow 1804 · #3 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1815

Loses by decision-13→ 1791

Navajo StirlingNow 1761 · #8 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1779

Loses by decision-14→ 1747

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jiří ProcházkavsNavajo Stirling

Takedown accuracy

60%vs0%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.60vs2.62

Takedown average

0.51vs0.86

Sig. strike defense

46%vs58%

Finishing profile

Jiří ProcházkaKO/TKO leads 88% of wins

Navajo StirlingKO/TKO leads 64% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Jiří ProcházkaNavajo Stirling

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.69Sig. strikes landed per min6.24

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

55Sig. strike accuracy54

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

5.60Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.62

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

46Sig. strike defense58

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

0.51Takedown average0.86

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

60Takedown accuracy0

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

68Takedown defense71

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0.17Submission average0

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

28Wins by knockout7

3Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision4

5Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Jiří Procházka vs Navajo Stirling is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : PROCHAZKA VS STIRLING. Jiří Procházka enters with a 32-6-1 record and Navajo Stirling enters with a 11-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.