Jonathan David Rivera vs Amer Salameh

Oct 17, 2026 · UFC Fight Pass

Combat Edge model forecast62%Jonathan David Rivera38%Amer SalamehFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePalapellicone

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Jonathan David Rivera3-0-0Jonathan David Rivera vs Amer SalamehAmer Salameh1-1-0

Jonathan David Rivera3-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

3-0-0Record1-1-0

TBDAge29

TBDHeight5'9"

TBDReach-

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Amer Salameh1-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jonathan David Rivera owns a 63-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Jonathan David Rivera and Amer Salameh across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jonathan David RiveraAmer Salameh

Recent form

Jonathan David RiveraW W W · +71 Elo last 3

WWW

Amer SalamehW L · +7 Elo last 2

Elo edge

Jonathan David Rivera1570+19 last move

Amer Salameh1507+31 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jonathan David Rivera#289 of 375 active Featherweight fighters · 1570 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Paulo Barbosa (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Last 3 fights: 3 wins, 0 losses, +71 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #288 Alexsandro Cangaty, 1 ahead of #290 Lucas Alexander.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1493 Elo over the last 3 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Amer SalamehNot on the active ladder · 1507 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Madis Mäeste (rated 1500 at the time): +31.
Costliest loss: Lost to Orion Lombardi (rated 1500 at the time): -24.
Last 2 fights: 1 win, 1 loss, +7 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1487, not 1507: 20 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

62%Jonathan David Rivera38%Amer Salameh

Model favoriteJonathan David Rivera

Elo baseline59% for Jonathan David Rivera

Matchup adjustment+3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Jonathan David RiveraStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Jonathan David Rivera leads the full model at 62%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1570 · 1507Jonathan David Rivera leads by 63 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1493 · 1500Amer Salameh faced the stronger recent schedule (3 vs 2 sampled fights).

Elo record depth3 · 2 fightsJonathan David Rivera has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Jonathan David RiveraNow 1570 · #289 Featherweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1590

Loses by decision-28→ 1542

Amer SalamehNow 1507

Wins by decision+28→ 1535

Loses by decision-20→ 1487

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jonathan David RiveravsAmer Salameh

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Jonathan David RiveraKO/TKO leads 67% of wins

Amer SalamehKO/TKO leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Jonathan David RiveraAmer Salameh

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

2Wins by knockout1

0Wins by submission0

1Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Jonathan David Rivera vs Amer Salameh is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Jonathan David Rivera enters with a 3-0-0 record and Amer Salameh enters with a 1-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.