Shunya Inoue vs Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt

Nov 8, 2026 · RIZIN.TV

Combat Edge model forecast30%Shunya Inoue70%Saw Thwee Waw ThauntFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLaLa arena TOKYO-BAY

BroadcastRIZIN.TV

Shunya Inoue0-0-0Shunya Inoue vs Saw Thwee Waw ThauntSaw Thwee Waw ThauntMighty Saw |1-1-0

Shunya Inoue0-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

0-0-0Record1-1-0

20Age27

5'9"Height5'5"

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight146 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Saw Thwee Waw ThauntMighty Saw1-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Shunya Inoue and Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt across their careers →

Recent form

Shunya InoueNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Saw Thwee Waw ThauntW L · +10 Elo last 2

Elo edge

Shunya InoueTBDTBD last move

Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt1510+30 last move

Why they are ranked here

Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt#408 of 451 active Featherweight fighters · 1510 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Hibiki Nakao (rated 1500 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Ren Fujii (rated 1500 at the time): -20.
Last 2 fights: 1 win, 1 loss, +10 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #407 Zanyar Kamaran, 2 ahead of #409 David Tonatiuh Crol.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

30%Shunya Inoue70%Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt

Model favoriteSaw Thwee Waw Thaunt

Elo baseline51% for Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt

Matchup adjustment+19 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Saw Thwee Waw ThauntStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt leads the full model at 70%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 19 points.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Shunya InoueNow 1500

Wins by decision+25→ 1525

Loses by decision-23→ 1477

Saw Thwee Waw ThauntNow 1510 · #408 Featherweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1533

Loses by decision-25→ 1485

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Shunya InouevsSaw Thwee Waw Thaunt

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Shunya InoueNo tracked pro wins

Saw Thwee Waw Thauntsubmission leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Shunya InoueSaw Thwee Waw Thaunt

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.94

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.90

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 56%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission1

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Shunya Inoue vs Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt is a scheduled Featherweight fight on RIZIN 55. Shunya Inoue enters with a 0-0-0 record and Saw Thwee Waw Thaunt enters with a 1-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.