Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan

DateOct 10, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Niko PriceThe Hybrid |16-11-0Niko Price vs Leon ShahbazyanLeon ShahbazyanS.O.G. |12-5-0

Niko PriceThe Hybrid16-11-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

16-11-0Record12-5-0

37Age30

6'0"Height6'2"

76"Reach77"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Leon ShahbazyanS.O.G.12-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Niko Price owns a 26-point Elo edge (solid). Niko Price shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Niko Price and Leon Shahbazyan across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Niko PriceLeon Shahbazyan

Recent form

Niko PriceL L L L W · -41 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Leon ShahbazyanL W W W W · +36 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Niko Price1624-10 last move

Leon Shahbazyan1598-16 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

61%Niko Price39%Leon Shahbazyan

Model favoriteNiko Price

Elo baseline54% for Niko Price

Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Niko PriceStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Niko Price leads the full model at 61%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 8 points.

Current Elo ratings1624 · 1598Niko Price leads by 26 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1691 · 1513Niko Price faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth27 · 18 fightsNiko Price has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNiko Price 4 · 0 Leon ShahbazyanStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Niko Price.

Stat advantages

Niko PricevsLeon Shahbazyan

Takedown accuracy

10%vs0%

Takedown defense

50%vs0%

Submission average

0.62vs0

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.57vs8.45

Finishing profile

Niko PriceKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Leon Shahbazyansubmission leads 92% of wins

Common opponents

Phil Rowe Niko Price: loss · TKO (punches) · Dec 3, 2022Leon Shahbazyan: loss · TKO (Punches) · Aug 20, 2019

Tale of the tape

Niko PriceLeon Shahbazyan

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.11Sig. strikes landed per min6.10

UFC welterweight average : 3.68

43Sig. strike accuracy52

UFC welterweight average : 46%

5.57Sig. strikes absorbed per min8.45

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

48Sig. strike defense33

UFC welterweight average : 53%

1.06Takedown average1.41

UFC welterweight average : 1.33

10Takedown accuracy0

UFC welterweight average : 30%

50Takedown defense0

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.62Submission average0

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

10Wins by knockout1

3Wins by submission11

3Wins by decision0

6Losses by knockout5

3Losses by submission0

2Losses by decision0

Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN. Niko Price enters with a 16-11-0 record and Leon Shahbazyan enters with a 12-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.