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UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi

DateOct 10, 2026
DivisionBantamweight
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe
Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 11:00 AM
Malcolm WellmakerThe Machine |10-2-0Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari TanziloviOtari Tanzilovi10-2-0
usMalcolm WellmakerThe Machine10-2-0Malcolm Wellmakerus

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
10-2-0Record10-2-0
32Age28
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight
geOtari Tanzilovi10-2-0geOtari Tanzilovi
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Malcolm Wellmaker owns a 55-point Elo edge (good). Otari Tanzilovi shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Malcolm Wellmaker and Otari Tanzilovi across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Malcolm WellmakerOtari Tanzilovi
160016501700202420252026

Recent form

Malcolm WellmakerL L W W W · +29 Elo last 5
LLWWW
Otari TanziloviL W L W W · +10 Elo last 5
LWLWW

Elo edge

Malcolm Wellmaker1680-18 last move
Otari Tanzilovi1625-22 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
53%Malcolm Wellmaker47%Otari Tanzilovi
Model favoriteMalcolm Wellmaker
Elo baseline58% for Malcolm Wellmaker
Matchup adjustment-5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Malcolm Wellmaker leads the full model at 53%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 4 points.

Current Elo ratings1680 · 1625Malcolm Wellmaker leads by 55 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1567 · 1531Malcolm Wellmaker faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth12 · 10 fightsMalcolm Wellmaker has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesMalcolm Wellmaker 1 · 3 Otari TanziloviStrongest available gap: Takedown average toward Otari Tanzilovi.

Stat advantages

Malcolm WellmakervsOtari Tanzilovi
Takedown average
0vs4.50
Takedown defense
47%vs86%
Sig. strike accuracy
55%vs69%
Sig. strikes landed per min
4.58vs4.20

Finishing profile

Malcolm WellmakerKO/TKO leads 60% of wins
Otari TanziloviKO/TKO leads 70% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Malcolm WellmakerOtari Tanzilovi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.58Sig. strikes landed per min4.20
UFC bantamweight average : 3.70
55Sig. strike accuracy69
UFC bantamweight average : 45%
4.23Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.20
UFC bantamweight average : 3.75
52Sig. strike defense50
UFC bantamweight average : 54%
0Takedown average4.50
UFC bantamweight average : 1.52
0Takedown accuracy0
UFC bantamweight average : 28%
47Takedown defense86
UFC bantamweight average : 61%
0Submission average0
UFC bantamweight average : 0.52
6Wins by knockout7
2Wins by submission0
2Wins by decision3
0Losses by knockout0
1Losses by submission0
1Losses by decision2

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN. Malcolm Wellmaker enters with a 10-2-0 record and Otari Tanzilovi enters with a 10-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi quick answers

When is Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi?

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN on Oct 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.

What event is Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi on?

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN.

What are the records for Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi?

Malcolm Wellmaker enters with a 10-2-0 record and Otari Tanzilovi enters with a 10-2-0 record.

What division is Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi?

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi is listed as a Bantamweight fight.

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