Julien Leblanc vs Gilbert Urbina

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRogers Place

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Julien Leblanc10-3-0Julien Leblanc vs Gilbert UrbinaGilbert Urbina8-4-0

Julien Leblanc10-3-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

10-3-0Record8-4-0

34Age30

6'2"Height6'3"

74.5"Reach75"

184 lbsWeight170 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Gilbert Urbina8-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Julien Leblanc owns a 21-point Elo edge (solid). Gilbert Urbina shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Julien Leblanc and Gilbert Urbina across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Julien LeblancGilbert Urbina

Recent form

Julien LeblancL W W W W · +45 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Gilbert UrbinaW L L W L · -19 Elo last 5

WLLWL

Elo edge

Julien Leblanc1618-23 last move

Gilbert Urbina1597+24 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

25%Julien Leblanc75%Gilbert Urbina

Model favoriteGilbert Urbina

Elo baseline47% for Gilbert Urbina

Matchup adjustment+28 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Gilbert UrbinaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Gilbert Urbina is 75%, after Elo alone favored Julien Leblanc at 53%.

Current Elo ratings1618 · 1597Julien Leblanc leads by 21 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1499 · 1588Gilbert Urbina faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth13 · 12 fightsJulien Leblanc has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJulien Leblanc 1 · 3 Gilbert UrbinaStrongest available gap: Takedown average toward Gilbert Urbina.

Stat advantages

Julien LeblancvsGilbert Urbina

Takedown average

0vs2.73

Sig. strikes landed per min

1.69vs6.68

Submission average

0vs0.68

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

2.96vs4.72

Finishing profile

Julien LeblancKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Gilbert UrbinaKO/TKO leads 38% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Julien LeblancGilbert Urbina

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.69Sig. strikes landed per min6.68

UFC middleweight average : 3.79

67Sig. strike accuracy58

UFC middleweight average : 48%

2.96Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.72

UFC middleweight average : 3.80

46Sig. strike defense48

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0Takedown average2.73

UFC middleweight average : 1.70

Not availableTakedown accuracy22

UFC middleweight average : 32%

0Takedown defense0

UFC middleweight average : 58%

0Submission average0.68

UFC middleweight average : 0.65

4Wins by knockout3

4Wins by submission2

2Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout2

1Losses by submission1

2Losses by decision1

Julien Leblanc vs Gilbert Urbina is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTT. Julien Leblanc enters with a 10-3-0 record and Gilbert Urbina enters with a 8-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.