Khabib Nabiev vs Styve Ngono

Nov 14, 2026 · ESPN 2

Combat Edge model forecast43%Khabib Nabiev57%Styve NgonoFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 14, 2026

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCoca-Cola Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Khabib Nabiev12-0-0Khabib Nabiev vs Styve NgonoStyve NgonoThe Revolution |8-1-0

Khabib Nabiev12-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

12-0-0Record8-1-0

TBDAgeTBD

6'1"Height6'2"

-Reach90"

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Styve NgonoThe Revolution8-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Khabib Nabiev owns a 76-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Khabib Nabiev and Styve Ngono across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Khabib NabievStyve Ngono

Recent form

Khabib NabievW W W W W · +73 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Styve NgonoW W W W W · +102 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Khabib Nabiev1726+11 last move

Styve Ngono1650+22 last move

Why they are ranked here

Khabib Nabiev#20 of 184 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1726 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Nikita Gomzyakov (rated 1500 at the time): +24.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +73 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #19 Luke Trainer, 2 ahead of #21 Modestas Bukauskas.
Opposition: Opponents averaged 1517 Elo over the last 10 fights. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Styve Ngono#65 of 184 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1650 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mvondo Bertrand (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Rodrigue Divina (rated 1474 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +102 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #64 Dauren Ermekov, 2 ahead of #66 Ibo Aslan.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

43%Khabib Nabiev57%Styve Ngono

Model favoriteStyve Ngono

Elo baseline39% for Styve Ngono

Matchup adjustment+18 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Styve NgonoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Styve Ngono is 57%, after Elo alone favored Khabib Nabiev at 61%.

Current Elo ratings1726 · 1650Khabib Nabiev leads by 76 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1517 · 1505Khabib Nabiev faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth12 · 9 fightsKhabib Nabiev has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Khabib NabievNow 1726 · #20 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1739

Loses by decision-19→ 1707

Styve NgonoNow 1650 · #65 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+29→ 1679

Loses by decision-19→ 1631

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Khabib NabievvsStyve Ngono

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Khabib NabievKO/TKO leads 42% of wins

Styve Ngonodecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Khabib NabievStyve Ngono

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.02

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.39

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

5Wins by knockout3

5Wins by submission1

2Wins by decision4

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision1

Khabib Nabiev vs Styve Ngono is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on PFL DUBAI : NEMKOV VS BILOSTENNIY. Khabib Nabiev enters with a 12-0-0 record and Styve Ngono enters with a 8-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.