Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRogers Place

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Marc-André BarriaultPower Bar |17-11-0Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle DaukausKyle DaukausThe D'Arce Knight |17-5-0

Marc-André BarriaultPower Bar17-11-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

17-11-0Record17-5-0

36Age33

6'1"Height6'3"

74"Reach76"

185 lbsWeight185 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Kyle DaukausThe D'Arce Knight17-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kyle Daukaus owns a 79-point Elo edge (good). Kyle Daukaus shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Marc-André Barriault and Kyle Daukaus across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Marc-André BarriaultKyle Daukaus

Recent form

Marc-André BarriaultL L W L L · -43 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Kyle DaukausL W W W W · +40 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Marc-André Barriault1638-10 last move

Kyle Daukaus1717-20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

27%Marc-André Barriault73%Kyle Daukaus

Model favoriteKyle Daukaus

Elo baseline61% for Kyle Daukaus

Matchup adjustment+12 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Kyle DaukausStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Kyle Daukaus leads the full model at 73%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 11 points.

Current Elo ratings1638 · 1717Kyle Daukaus leads by 79 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1680 · 1617Marc-André Barriault faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth28 · 22 fightsMarc-André Barriault has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesMarc-André Barriault 0 · 4 Kyle DaukausStrongest available gap: Submission average toward Kyle Daukaus.

Stat advantages

Marc-André BarriaultvsKyle Daukaus

Submission average

0.09vs2.08

Takedown average

0.34vs2.08

Takedown accuracy

7%vs26%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.94vs2.90

Finishing profile

Marc-André BarriaultKO/TKO leads 65% of wins

Kyle Daukaussubmission leads 71% of wins

Common opponents

Michel PereiraMarc-André Barriault: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Oct 14, 2023Kyle Daukaus: win · KO (punches and elbows) · Aug 23, 2025

Eryk Anders Marc-André Barriault: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 10, 2023 Kyle Daukaus: loss · TKO (punches) · Dec 3, 2022

Julian Marquez Marc-André Barriault: win · TKO (punches) · Mar 4, 2023Kyle Daukaus: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 19, 2022

Tale of the tape

Marc-André BarriaultKyle Daukaus

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.65Sig. strikes landed per min3.32

UFC middleweight average : 3.85

47Sig. strike accuracy53

UFC middleweight average : 48%

5.94Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.90

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

49Sig. strike defense43

UFC middleweight average : 52%

0.34Takedown average2.08

UFC middleweight average : 1.69

7Takedown accuracy26

UFC middleweight average : 31%

68Takedown defense83

UFC middleweight average : 58%

0.09Submission average2.08

UFC middleweight average : 0.69

11Wins by knockout2

1Wins by submission12

5Wins by decision3

3Losses by knockout3

1Losses by submission0

7Losses by decision2

Marc-André Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTT. Marc-André Barriault enters with a 17-11-0 record and Kyle Daukaus enters with a 17-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.