Michael Johnson vs Alexander Hernandez

Jan 24, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

DateJan 24, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, January 24, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 1:00 PM
Your time

Michael JohnsonThe Menace |24-20-0Michael Johnson vs Alexander HernandezAlexander HernandezThe Great Ape |19-9-0

Michael JohnsonThe Menace24-20-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

24-20-0Record19-9-0

40Age34

5'10"Height5'9"

73"Reach72"

155 lbsWeight148 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Alexander HernandezThe Great Ape19-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Alexander Hernandez owns a 119-point Elo edge (good). Michael Johnson shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Michael Johnson and Alexander Hernandez across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Michael JohnsonAlexander Hernandez

Recent form

Michael JohnsonL W W W L · +26 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Alexander HernandezW L W W W · +63 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Elo edge

Michael Johnson1612-12 last move

Alexander Hernandez1731+14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Michael Johnson#230 of 397 active Lightweight fighters · 1612 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ottman Azaitar (rated 1688 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Drew Dober (rated 1689 at the time): -12.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +26 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #229 Leo Brichta, 1 ahead of #231 Loai Abushaar.

Alexander Hernandez#41 of 397 active Lightweight fighters · 1731 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Diego Ferreira (rated 1749 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Billy Quarantillo (rated 1708 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +63 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #40 Michael Chandler, 0 ahead of #42 George Staines.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Michael JohnsonNow 1612 · #230 Lightweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1628

Loses by decision-8→ 1604

Alexander HernandezNow 1731 · #41 Lightweight

Wins by decision+8→ 1739

Loses by decision-16→ 1715

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Michael JohnsonvsAlexander Hernandez

Takedown accuracy

39%vs11%

Takedown average

0.58vs1.05

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.79vs4.45

Takedown defense

81%vs69%

Finishing profile

Michael Johnsondecision leads 50% of wins

Alexander HernandezKO/TKO leads 47% of wins

Common opponents

Diego Ferreira Michael Johnson: loss · KO (punch) · May 20, 2023 Alexander Hernandez: win · TKO (punches) · Sep 13, 2025

Thiago Moisés Michael Johnson: loss · Submission (Achilles lock) · May 13, 2020 Alexander Hernandez: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 27, 2021

Drew Dober Michael Johnson: loss · KO (punch) · Mar 7, 2026 Alexander Hernandez: loss · TKO (Punches) · May 13, 2020

Tale of the tape

Michael JohnsonAlexander Hernandez

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.28Sig. strikes landed per min4.23

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

40Sig. strike accuracy40

UFC lightweight average : 46%

3.79Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.45

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

59Sig. strike defense60

UFC lightweight average : 53%

0.58Takedown average1.05

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

39Takedown accuracy11

UFC lightweight average : 28%

81Takedown defense69

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0.04Submission average0.08

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

10Wins by knockout9

2Wins by submission2

12Wins by decision8

4Losses by knockout3

9Losses by submission1

7Losses by decision5

Michael Johnson vs Alexander Hernandez is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 324 : GAETHJE VS PIMBLETT. Michael Johnson enters with a 24-20-0 record and Alexander Hernandez enters with a 19-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.