Dan Hooker24-15-0
Salahdine Parnasse24-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Salahdine Parnasse won
43%Dan Hooker58%Salahdine Parnasse
Combat Edge Model · Full card
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse (September 5, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
14Total bouts
14Frozen forecasts
3Close matchups
4Model / Elo splits
4Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 14 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Fares Ziam18-6-0
Axel Sola13-1-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Axel Sola won
59%Fares Ziam41%Axel Sola
Michael Page26-3-0
Nursulton Ruziboev37-10-2
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Michael Page won
69%Michael Page31%Nursulton Ruziboev
Daniil Donchenko15-2-0
Punahele Soriano13-5-0
Model lean50/50 baselineModel hit · Daniil Donchenko won
62%Daniil Donchenko38%Punahele Soriano
Kurtis Campbell9-1-0
Trevor Peek9-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Kurtis Campbell won
60%Kurtis Campbell40%Trevor Peek
Losene Keita17-3-0
Muhammad Naimov13-5-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Losene Keita won
53%Losene Keita47%Muhammad Naimov
Prelims
Prelims predictions
8 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Morgan Charrière21-13-1
Felipe Lima15-2-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Felipe Lima won
25%Morgan Charrière75%Felipe Lima
Mario Pinto13-0-0
Ryan Spann24-12-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Mario Pinto won
80%Mario Pinto20%Ryan Spann
Oumar Sy12-3-0
Modestas Bukauskas21-7-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Modestas Bukauskas won
64%Oumar Sy36%Modestas Bukauskas
Nathaniel Wood23-7-0
Pavel Andrusca9-0-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Pavel Andrusca won
49.9%Nathaniel Wood50.1%Pavel Andrusca
Michael Aljarouj13-4-0
Fabia Sintes12-3-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Fabia Sintes won
78%Michael Aljarouj22%Fabia Sintes
Nora Cornolle10-4-0
Klaudia Syguła8-3-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Nora Cornolle won
39%Nora Cornolle61%Klaudia Syguła
Matthieu Duclos11-3-0
Luis Felipe Dias18-6-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel miss · Matthieu Duclos won
48%Matthieu Duclos52%Luis Felipe Dias
Delphine Benouaich8-2-0
Sofia Montenegro6-3-0
Strong model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Delphine Benouaich won
19%Delphine Benouaich81%Sofia Montenegro