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Combat Edge Model · Full card

UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit (November 14, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

Make your picks free — beat the modelEvent overview
12Total bouts
12Frozen forecasts
2Close matchups
4Model / Elo splits
2Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe
Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 1:00 PM
Card intelligence

Find the fights that matter

Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 12 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

UFC Heavyweight Championship Boutv0.8-2026-10-04
Ciryl Gane
Ciryl Gane14-2-0
Josh Hokit
Josh Hokit10-0-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
62%Ciryl Gane38%Josh Hokit
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 60% / 40%
UFC Bantamweight Championshipv0.8-2026-10-04
Kayla Harrison
Kayla Harrison19-1-0
Amanda Nunes
Amanda Nunes23-5-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
56%Kayla Harrison44%Amanda Nunes
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 48% / 52%
Middleweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Caio Borralho
Caio Borralho18-2-0
Yousri Belgaroui
Yousri Belgaroui11-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
63%Caio Borralho37%Yousri Belgaroui
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 68% / 32%
Welterweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Uros Medic
Uros Medic14-3-0
Kevin Holland
Kevin Holland29-15-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
65%Uros Medic35%Kevin Holland
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49% / 51%
Flyweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Bilal Hasan
Bilal Hasan10-0-0
Luis Gurule
Luis Gurule11-4-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
83%Bilal Hasan17%Luis Gurule
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 62% / 39%
Prelims

Prelims predictions

4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Welterweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Stephen Thompson
Stephen Thompson17-9-1
Charles Radtke
Charles Radtke12-5-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
47%Stephen Thompson53%Charles Radtke
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 57% / 43%
Lightweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Drew Dober
Drew Dober29-15-0
Chris Duncan
Chris Duncan15-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
34%Drew Dober66%Chris Duncan
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 47% / 53%
Lightweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Jim Miller
Jim Miller39-19-0
Terrance McKinney
Terrance McKinney18-9-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
36%Jim Miller64%Terrance McKinney
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 58% / 42%
Middleweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Donte Johnson
Donte Johnson9-0-0
César Almeida
César Almeida7-3-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
72%Donte Johnson28%César Almeida
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 61% / 39%
Early prelims

Early prelims predictions

3 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Bia Mesquita
Bia Mesquita8-0-0
Macy Chiasson
Macy Chiasson10-6-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
65%Bia Mesquita36%Macy Chiasson
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 62% / 39%
Bantamweightv0.8-2026-10-04
Adrian Yanez
Adrian Yanez18-6-1
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz16-1-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
37%Adrian Yanez63%Juan Díaz
Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 46% / 54%