Zach Reese vs Mickey Gall

Oct 31, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast78%Zach Reese22%Mickey GallFull forecast and your pick

DateOct 31, 2026

DivisionMiddleweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 31, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Zach ReeseSavage |10-4-0Zach Reese vs Mickey GallMickey Gall7-7-0

Zach ReeseSavage10-4-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

10-4-0Record7-7-0

32Age34

6'3"Height6'2"

77"Reach74"

185 lbsWeight170 lbs

MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight

Mickey Gall7-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Zach Reese owns a 99-point Elo edge (good). Zach Reese shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Zach Reese and Mickey Gall across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Zach ReeseMickey Gall

Recent form

Zach ReeseL L W W L · -22 Elo last 5

LLWWL

Mickey GallL L L L W · -35 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Elo edge

Zach Reese1664-20 last move

Mickey Gall1565-18 last move

Why they are ranked here

Zach Reese#95 of 285 active Middleweight fighters · 1664 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Eli Aronov (rated 1643 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Cody Brundage (rated 1589 at the time): -36.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -22 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #94 Rodolfo Vieira, 1 ahead of #96 Mark Hulme.

Mickey Gall#293 of 369 active Welterweight fighters · 1565 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat George Sullivan (rated 1668 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Mike Perry (rated 1685 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -35 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #292 Daichi Abe, 0 ahead of #294 Christopher Bajo.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

78%Zach Reese22%Mickey Gall

Model favoriteZach Reese

Elo baseline64% for Zach Reese

Matchup adjustment+14 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Zach ReeseStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Zach Reese leads the full model at 78%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 14 points.

Current Elo ratings1664 · 1565Zach Reese leads by 99 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1621 · 1651Mickey Gall faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth15 · 14 fightsZach Reese has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesZach Reese 3 · 1 Mickey GallStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Mickey Gall.

What's at stake

Zach ReeseNow 1664 · #95 Middleweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1676

Loses by decision-20→ 1644

Mickey GallNow 1565 · #293 Welterweight

Wins by decision+20→ 1585

Loses by decision-12→ 1553

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Zach ReesevsMickey Gall

Takedown accuracy

0%vs16%

Takedown average

2.74vs1.15

Takedown defense

52%vs38%

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.47vs3.50

Finishing profile

Zach ReeseKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Mickey Gallsubmission leads 86% of wins

Common opponents

Sedriques Dumas Zach Reese: No Contest · NC (accidental groin strike) · Sep 13, 2025 Mickey Gall: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Sep 26, 2026

Tale of the tape

Zach ReeseMickey Gall

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.47Sig. strikes landed per min3.50

UFC middleweight average : 3.93

54Sig. strike accuracy50

UFC middleweight average : 48%

4Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.72

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

44Sig. strike defense50

UFC middleweight average : 52%

2.74Takedown average1.15

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

0Takedown accuracy16

UFC middleweight average : 29%

52Takedown defense38

UFC middleweight average : 59%

1.25Submission average1.58

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

5Wins by knockout0

3Wins by submission6

2Wins by decision1

3Losses by knockout3

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision4

Zach Reese vs Mickey Gall is a scheduled Middleweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MOICANO VS NOLAN. Zach Reese enters with a 10-4-0 record and Mickey Gall enters with a 7-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.