Tom Nolan defeated Renato Moicano by TKO in round 3 (1:28) in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan on Saturday, October 31 at Meta APEX. The Combat Edge model had Nolan at 71%. It's Nolan's sixth straight win.

The finish came via elbow at 1:28 of round 3.

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In the co-main event, Jacobe Smith beat Randy Brown by unanimous decision.

UFC Fight Night results

ResultMethodRoundModel
Main card
Tom Nolan def. Renato MoicanoTKOR3, 1:28✓
Jacobe Smith def. Randy BrownUnanimous decisionR3, 5:00✓
Cody Durden def. Ode OsbourneUnanimous decisionR3, 5:00✓
Luana Santos def. Yana SantosUnanimous decisionR3, 5:00✓
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. Farman HasanovTKOR3, 2:11✗
Prelims
Dakota Hope def. Francis MarshallSplit decisionR3, 5:00✗
Rodrigo Sezinando def. Theodor BerggrenTKOR2, 5:00✗
Julian Erosa def. Jeong Yeong LeeKOR1, 1:31✗
Zach Reese def. Mickey GallUnanimous decisionR3, 5:00✓
Joseph Kropschot def. Nick KleinSubmissionR2, 1:25✓
Piera Rodriguez def. Talita AlencarUnanimous decisionR3, 5:00✓
Lucia Szabová def. Tainara LisboaTKOR3, 3:20✓

Biggest upsets

  • Rodrigo Sezinando beat Theodor Berggren by TKO — the model gave the winner 19%.
  • Julian Erosa beat Jeong Yeong Lee by KO — the model gave the winner 37%.

Elo movers

How the model did

The Combat Edge model went 8-4 on UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan, with 2 big misses listed above. Pick'em players' majority picks went 7-3 on the fights they covered. Every forecast was frozen before the event and is graded publicly on the model accuracy tracker. See round-by-round stats on the UFC Fight Night fight card.

This recap is generated from Combat Edge's fight database, Elo ratings and prediction model.