Tom Nolan defeated Renato Moicano by TKO in round 3 (1:28) in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan on Saturday, October 31 at Meta APEX. The Combat Edge model had Nolan at 71%. It's Nolan's sixth straight win.
The finish came via elbow at 1:28 of round 3.
In the co-main event, Jacobe Smith beat Randy Brown by unanimous decision.
UFC Fight Night results
| Result | Method | Round | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main card | |||
| Tom Nolan def. Renato Moicano | TKO | R3, 1:28 | ✓ |
| Jacobe Smith def. Randy Brown | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Cody Durden def. Ode Osbourne | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Luana Santos def. Yana Santos | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani def. Farman Hasanov | TKO | R3, 2:11 | ✗ |
| Prelims | |||
| Dakota Hope def. Francis Marshall | Split decision | R3, 5:00 | ✗ |
| Rodrigo Sezinando def. Theodor Berggren | TKO | R2, 5:00 | ✗ |
| Julian Erosa def. Jeong Yeong Lee | KO | R1, 1:31 | ✗ |
| Zach Reese def. Mickey Gall | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Joseph Kropschot def. Nick Klein | Submission | R2, 1:25 | ✓ |
| Piera Rodriguez def. Talita Alencar | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Lucia Szabová def. Tainara Lisboa | TKO | R3, 3:20 | ✓ |
Biggest upsets
- Rodrigo Sezinando beat Theodor Berggren by TKO — the model gave the winner 19%.
- Julian Erosa beat Jeong Yeong Lee by KO — the model gave the winner 37%.
Elo movers
- Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani: +17 to 1702
- Rodrigo Sezinando: +17 to 1638
- Smith: +16 to 1763 (#25 welterweight)
- Farman Hasanov: -25 to 1615
- Jeong Yeong Lee: -18 to 1658
How the model did
The Combat Edge model went 8-4 on UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan, with 2 big misses listed above. Pick'em players' majority picks went 7-3 on the fights they covered. Every forecast was frozen before the event and is graded publicly on the model accuracy tracker. See round-by-round stats on the UFC Fight Night fight card.
This recap is generated from Combat Edge's fight database, Elo ratings and prediction model.




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