Alexander Volkanovski defeated Movsar Evloev by TKO in round 2 (4:54) in the main event of UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev on Saturday, October 24 at Etihad Arena. By our model's numbers it was an upset: Volkanovski was given 35%. It's Volkanovski's third straight win.
The finish came via punches at 4:54 of round 2. Volkanovski gains 14 Elo points to 1879, #1 at featherweight.
In the co-main event, Petr Yan beat Merab Dvalishvili by unanimous decision — an upset by the model's numbers (41%).
UFC 333 results
| Result | Method | Round | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Main card | |||
| Alexander Volkanovski def. Movsar Evloev | TKO | R2, 4:54 | ✗ |
| Petr Yan def. Merab Dvalishvili | Unanimous decision | R5, 5:00 | ✗ |
| Lone’er Kavanagh def. Ramazan Temirov | TKO | R1, 4:28 | ✗ |
| Alexander Volkov def. Rizvan Kuniev | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Aaron Pico def. Losene Keita | TKO | R1, 1:14 | ✓ |
| Prelims | |||
| Dominick Reyes def. Azamat Murzakanov | TKO | R1, 2:40 | ✗ |
| Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev def. Nikita Krylov | TKO | R1, 2:38 | ✓ |
| Abus Magomedov def. Cam Rowston | Submission | R1, 1:44 | ✗ |
| Grant Dawson def. Nurullo Aliev | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Early prelims | |||
| Colby Thicknesse def. Asaf Chopurov | Split decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Abubakar Vagaev def. Jacob Malkoun | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
| Daniel Santos def. Bolaji Oki | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✗ |
| Kody Steele def. Noah Gugnon | TKO | R1, 3:54 | ✗ |
| Iasmin Lucindo def. Nicolle Caliari | Unanimous decision | R3, 5:00 | ✓ |
Biggest upsets
- Abus Magomedov beat Cam Rowston by submission — the model gave the winner 32%.
- Alexander Volkanovski beat Movsar Evloev by TKO — the model gave the winner 35%.
Elo movers
- Kody Steele: +30 to 1690
- Lone’er Kavanagh: +23 to 1695
- Aaron Pico: +22 to 1731
- Ramazan Temirov: -23 to 1724 (#14 flyweight)
- Losene Keita: -22 to 1734
How the model did
The Combat Edge model went 7-7 on UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev, with 2 big misses listed above. Pick'em players' majority picks went 7-7 on the fights they covered. Every forecast was frozen before the event and is graded publicly on the model accuracy tracker. See round-by-round stats on the UFC 333 fight card.
This recap is generated from Combat Edge's fight database, Elo ratings and prediction model.




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