Aleksandra Savicheva vs Jacinta Austin

Nov 14, 2026 · ESPN 2

Combat Edge model forecast57%Aleksandra Savicheva43%Jacinta AustinFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 14, 2026

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueCoca-Cola Arena

BroadcastESPN 2

Aleksandra Savicheva8-2-0Aleksandra Savicheva vs Jacinta AustinJacinta AustinThe Juggernaut |9-2-0

Aleksandra Savicheva8-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

8-2-0Record9-2-0

28Age32

5'5"Height5'4"

66"Reach65"

115 lbsWeight116 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Jacinta AustinThe Juggernaut9-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jacinta Austin owns a 27-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Aleksandra Savicheva and Jacinta Austin across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Aleksandra SavichevaJacinta Austin

Recent form

Aleksandra SavichevaW W L W W · +43 Elo last 5

WWLWW

Jacinta AustinW W W W L · +45 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Aleksandra Savicheva1604+22 last move

Jacinta Austin1631+19 last move

Why they are ranked here

Aleksandra Savicheva#105 of 221 active Flyweight fighters · 1604 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Zarema Aloeva (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Natalia Alves (rated 1500 at the time): -37.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +43 Elo in total.
Next places: 3 points behind #104 Ricardo Lemos, 0 ahead of #106 Brandon Bohannan.

Jacinta Austin#2 of 12 active Strawweight fighters · 1631 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Karolina Wojcik (rated 1591 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss: Lost to Katharina Dalisda (rated 1562 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +45 Elo in total.
Next places: 36 points behind #1 Anastasia Nikolakakos, 8 ahead of #3 Victória Souza.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

57%Aleksandra Savicheva43%Jacinta Austin

Model favoriteAleksandra Savicheva

Elo baseline46% for Aleksandra Savicheva

Matchup adjustment+11 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Aleksandra SavichevaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Aleksandra Savicheva is 57%, after Elo alone favored Jacinta Austin at 54%.

Current Elo ratings1604 · 1631Jacinta Austin leads by 27 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1504 · 1518Jacinta Austin faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth10 · 11 fightsJacinta Austin has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Aleksandra SavichevaNow 1604 · #105 Flyweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1621

Loses by decision-15→ 1589

Jacinta AustinNow 1631 · #2 Strawweight

Wins by decision+15→ 1646

Loses by decision-17→ 1614

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Aleksandra SavichevavsJacinta Austin

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Aleksandra Savichevadecision leads 63% of wins

Jacinta Austindecision leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

Sofiia BagishviliAleksandra Savicheva: win · Decision (Unanimous) · May 17, 2024Jacinta Austin: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Jun 17, 2023

Tale of the tape

Aleksandra SavichevaJacinta Austin

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.15

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC strawweight average : 4.10

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 1.37

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC strawweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC strawweight average : 60%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

2Wins by knockout1

1Wins by submission2

5Wins by decision6

0Losses by knockout0

2Losses by submission1

0Losses by decision1

Aleksandra Savicheva vs Jacinta Austin is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on PFL DUBAI : NEMKOV VS BILOSTENNIY. Aleksandra Savicheva enters with a 8-2-0 record and Jacinta Austin enters with a 9-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.