Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith

Nov 7, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast26%Davey Grant74%Elijah SmithFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 7, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMeta APEX

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Davey GrantDangerous |18-8-0Davey Grant vs Elijah SmithElijah SmithSwift |10-1-0

Davey GrantDangerous18-8-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

18-8-0Record10-1-0

40Age24

5'8"Height5'9"

69"Reach71"

135 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Elijah SmithSwift10-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Elijah Smith owns a 52-point Elo edge (good). Elijah Smith shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Davey Grant and Elijah Smith across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Davey GrantElijah Smith

Recent form

Davey GrantW L W W L · +27 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Elijah SmithW W W W W · +118 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Davey Grant1666+20 last move

Elijah Smith1718+20 last move

Why they are ranked here

Davey Grant#102 of 316 active Bantamweight fighters · 1666 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jonathan Martinez (rated 1644 at the time): +33.
Costliest loss: Lost to Marlon Vera (rated 1694 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +27 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #101 Long Xiao, 0 ahead of #103 Serhiy Sidey.

Elijah Smith#43 of 316 active Bantamweight fighters · 1718 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Christian Strong (rated 1525 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Reyes Cortez Jr. (rated 1590 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +118 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #42 Adrian Luna Martinetti, 1 ahead of #44 Sanzhar Zakirov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

26%Davey Grant74%Elijah Smith

Model favoriteElijah Smith

Elo baseline57% for Elijah Smith

Matchup adjustment+17 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Elijah SmithStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Elijah Smith leads the full model at 74%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 16 points.

Current Elo ratings1666 · 1718Elijah Smith leads by 52 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1692 · 1578Davey Grant faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth18 · 11 fightsDavey Grant has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesDavey Grant 0 · 4 Elijah SmithStrongest available gap: Submission average toward Elijah Smith.

What's at stake

Davey GrantNow 1666 · #102 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1684

Loses by decision-14→ 1652

Elijah SmithNow 1718 · #43 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1732

Loses by decision-18→ 1700

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Davey GrantvsElijah Smith

Submission average

0.16vs1.12

Takedown average

0.95vs2.98

Takedown accuracy

10%vs20%

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.04vs2.96

Finishing profile

Davey Grantsubmission leads 50% of wins

Elijah SmithKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Davey GrantElijah Smith

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.58Sig. strikes landed per min4.18

UFC bantamweight average : 3.71

45Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

4.04Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.96

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

55Sig. strike defense47

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

0.95Takedown average2.98

UFC bantamweight average : 1.51

10Takedown accuracy20

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

65Takedown defense53

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

0.16Submission average1.12

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

4Wins by knockout5

9Wins by submission2

5Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout1

5Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision0

Davey Grant vs Elijah Smith is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BONFIM VS BRADY. Davey Grant enters with a 18-8-0 record and Elijah Smith enters with a 10-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.