Combat Edge Model · Full card

Noche Ufc: Silva vs Delgado predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on Noche Ufc: Silva vs Delgado (September 12, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

Join the discussion Event overview

13Total bouts

13Frozen forecasts

2Close matchups

3Model / Elo splits

2Strong model leans

LockedFight card started

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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.

Showing all 13 matchups.

Main card

Main card predictions

6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Featherweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Jean Silva18-3-0

Jose Delgado12-3-0

Model lean50/50 baselineModel miss · Jean Silva won

32%Jean Silva68%Jose Delgado

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Flyweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Brandon Moreno24-10-2

Joseph Morales14-3-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Brandon Moreno won

59%Brandon Moreno41%Joseph Morales

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 55% / 45%

Featherweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Tommy McMillen12-0-0

Marwan Rahiki9-1-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Tommy McMillen won

56%Tommy McMillen44%Marwan Rahiki

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50.6% / 49.4%

Women's Flyweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Manon Fiorot13-3-0

Alexa Grasso18-5-1

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Alexa Grasso won

57%Manon Fiorot43%Alexa Grasso

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 56% / 44%

Heavyweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Waldo Cortes-Acosta17-4-0

Curtis Blaydes20-6-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Curtis Blaydes won

56%Waldo Cortes-Acosta44%Curtis Blaydes

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 52% / 48%

Bantamweightv0.7-2026-08-28

David Martinez15-1-0

Dan Ige19-12-0

Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · David Martinez won

73%David Martinez27%Dan Ige

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 61% / 39%

Prelims

Prelims predictions

7 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.

Flyweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Tim Elliott22-14-1

Edgar Cháirez14-7-0

Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Tim Elliott won

51%Tim Elliott49%Edgar Cháirez

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49% / 51%

Welterweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Ignacio Bahamondes18-7-0

Muslim Salikhov22-7-0

Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Ignacio Bahamondes won

69%Ignacio Bahamondes31%Muslim Salikhov

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 42% / 58%

Middleweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Yousri Belgaroui11-3-0

Djorden Santos11-4-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Yousri Belgaroui won

58%Yousri Belgaroui42%Djorden Santos

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 54% / 46%

Lightweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Drakkar Klose16-4-1

Tommy Gantt13-0-0

Strong model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Tommy Gantt won

27%Drakkar Klose73%Tommy Gantt

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 53% / 47%

Lightweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Rafa García19-5-0

Rongzhu29-6-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Rongzhu won

69%Rafa García31%Rongzhu

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 52% / 48%

Featherweightv0.7-2026-08-28

Sean King7-0-0

Jessie Rosas8-2-0

Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Sean King won

55%Sean King45%Jessie Rosas

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 50% / 50%

Women's Flyweightv0.7-2026-08-28

JJ Aldrich15-8-0

Regina Tarin9-0-0

Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Regina Tarin won

39%JJ Aldrich61%Regina Tarin

Combat Edge win probabilityElo alone: 49% / 51%