Combat Edge Model

NOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVA predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on NOCHE UFC : RODRIGUEZ VS SILVA (September 12, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data, frozen before fight night, and graded on theaccuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 12, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 5:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 2:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sat 10:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 11:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 7:00 AM

Main card

Yair Rodriguez 40%60% Jean SilvaElo alone: 55% / 45%
Brandon Moreno 55%45% Joseph MoralesElo alone: 55% / 45%
Tommy McMillen 41%59% Marwan RahikiElo alone: 51% / 49%
Manon Fiorot 57%43% Alexa GrassoElo alone: 56% / 44%
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70%30% Curtis BlaydesElo alone: 52% / 48%
David Martinez 92%8% Dan IgeElo alone: 61% / 39%

Prelims

Tim Elliott 50%50% Edgar CháirezElo alone: 49% / 51%
Ignacio Bahamondes 62%38% Muslim SalikhovElo alone: 42% / 58%
Kelvin Gastelum 40%60% Yousri BelgarouiElo alone: 56% / 44%
JJ Aldrich 30%70% Regina TarinElo alone: 49% / 51%